THE RESISTIBLE march towards the craziest crisis in the world continues and, between today and tomorrow, another milestone will be reached: the presentation by the government of the financial bill for 1998. Bertinotti will read this text and say that it is not good, indeed the announcement is that “hardly the judgment will be so kind and moderate”.
Rifondazione will discover what he already believes he knows: the absence in the law of what he asks, in terms of employment for example, and also a “suspected neutrality” of the government on concrete measures regarding the social state.
Cgil, Cisl and Uil will then be routed on an even closer track, will ask, to continue the negotiation on welfare, if there still exists a majority on the financial. Bertinotti will answer “I do not know”. Prodi will reply: “I’m trying to reassemble it”. So Cofferati, D ‘Antoni and Larizza will be pushed into the trenches: they will look for the lowest common denominator of an agreement at the most painless and defensible level with respect to their representatives. They have already begun to do so, without waiting for Refoundation: 6000 billion cuts “are too many” and if about 4000 billion savings on social security can be a measure with digestible fatigue, the problem will become the how. A block of retirement, the contributory system, the so-called ninety quota? Each of the three solutions affects more or less the public workers or the generation that has been working for 30 years in the factory or more or less powerful and protected categories. Here the three Confederations do not speak the same language. So the negotiations on the welfare state will continue with the general awareness that Rifondazione wants to do it and not because they are insane, but because this choice is in the identity and nature of that political force. If it does not open the crisis, Rifondazione will have to change strategy, identity and perhaps nature, given that “the antagonism” that is its flag will hardly be feasible. It should, without a crisis, end up going to the government
A good part of Bertinotti’s party saw this junction and chose which path to take at the crossroads. The PDS has noticed that it signals “disturbing symptoms” like the “no” of Rifondazione on the new matriculation exam and on the immigration law. The trade unions have been aware of this and they have to do with the political task of stopping the crisis. Achieving the agreement on the expectations and disability of the move by Bertinotti, the verification of the social sustainability of the crisis itself, It is the moment when we talk about the government, then the trend of consultation between workers and therefore its ” weight “in the threshold, ie the re-establishment or not of the original financial. CGIL, CISL and UIL know it so well that they will go first to the management without signing anything, and will be a question to the workers a final contract on certain issues reached in the negotiation, only later, they will sign the eventual agreement. And now D ‘Alema and Marini know that yesterday they are called “worried”.
“They have good judgments to be so” was Bertinotti’s comment “we have not decided anything, but, at the moment, it is a crisis”. If Bertinotti continues to talk like that, D ‘Alema and Marini allows him to respond not only to him, but also to those pieces of a year, in an organic way. It is not this offer that pleases neither to the Olive Tree nor to Prodi, but an answer to the offer obligatorily approaches. So, on the table there is a “possible” agreement on the social state, of those limited, reduced and compatible with the interests touched, but these have been paved the road that led to rehabilitation and in Europe. This and nothing else. A good deal because possible, a good deal if they deal is also counting the reality. But an agreement at risk, because Bertinotti can keep Cofferati warm, the head of the CGIL holds the keys to what the head of PRC can do or not, Prodi can stop Bertinotti putting D ‘Alema in trouble and D’ Alema el ‘Olive tree can do a less than PRC but I do not want and a little’ can not. And everyone tries to dare check the other. Yesterday the confrontation government unions did not derailed from the tracks of the “possible” agreement. Hard negotiation, it is an arm wrestle but nobody wants to break it. And in fact every morning they do not believe it and the people, however, the most incredible crisis, the crisis that there is, grows and walks, leaven in a low-low oven where no one has risked previous hands to turn it off, someone always while putting them